Lies
People Tell Me ...
Past readers of
this space will recall that I am routinely confronted with documents that purport to be Business Plans. Such
documents typically arrive in e-mail attachments, except in those all-too-common cases where they exceed the
limit I prudently place on the size of incoming messages. Sometimes they arrive with a thump, as the poor,
stoop-shouldered mailman unloads his bag on my desk. Most of them are nicely typed and spell-checked, although
I’ve discovered that even the best word processor won’t save someone who says “ … if you don’t invest in us you don’t know what your missing!”
There’s also no
cure for the terminally generic, like the one I read recently that opened with “[Fill in the blank] is an Internet service company providing an integrated set of solutions
including web site design, hosting, e-commerce, & Internet marketing services.” Golly. Where have I heard THAT before?
Anyway, because
it’s my job, and because I’ve developed a somewhat sporting fascination with the varied ways entrepreneurs try
to “… put lipstick on a pig,” I actually read each and every one that comes my way. Really. OK, sometimes I skip a
section or two when it becomes clear that the author MIGHT be stretching credulity a bit. Not that I don’t trust
entrepreneurs to provide blindingly honest assessments of their business, it’s just that I’ve learned over time
to expect a little “Truth Decay” when dealing with people who have as much at stake as most
entrepreneurs.
Entrepreneurs
are, after all, chronic, unrepentant, and irretrievable optimists. It’s their nature, and let’s hope they always
stay that way, because no pessimist ever created anything of value in the world of technology or
business. But
such constant optimism causes most of them to indulge in a few pale prevarications as they attempt to enlist
others in their vision of how the world should be. Here are few of my favorites, summarized from too many years
of reading things like “... If you don't invest in us, we both lose
money.”
-
“Our plan
includes highly conservative projections” This is another way of saying
“We keep tweaking the spreadsheets and we don’t think anyone’s going
to believe we can make these numbers so we divided by ten.”
-
“We project
exponential growth” Which means they spent as much time playing with the LOGEST function in EXCEL as they
did picking their future revenue numbers out of thin air.
-
“We expect major
companies to partner with us within the first six months of
operation” In other words, they’re hoping the marketing guy from Motorola they met at a
trade show a year ago will at least answer their phone call.
-
“We’re prepared
to attack the ‘Big Boys’ one-on-one” This is usually followed by something like
“... our technology is ‘disruptive’ and the major companies in our
space are too slow to respond,” which usually means it's time to go buy stock in the major
companies in their space ...
-
“We only need 1%
of the market to reach break even” Thank you, but I think I’d rather work
with someone who wants 90% market share and has enough on the ball to know how to get it!
-
“Our market is
too large to measure” Or, “ ... we didn’t want to pay $3K for a Frost and Sullivan report, and the articles
we read in Forbes and The Economist had different numbers so we punted.”
-
“We have a number
of ‘Rainmakers’ ready to come on-board as soon as we get
funded” Would you mind if I called them? Maybe THEY can tell me what I'm missing in all
this gobbledygook!
-
“Our patent will
protect us from the competition” More likely it’ll protect you from making
any money while your brother-in-law, who agreed to help you with your patent application based on the
one semester of “Engineering Law” he took as an undergrad, gets run over by a truckload of corporate
lawyers from the Mega Corp that already dominates your target market.
-
“Our ‘First Mover
Advantage’ will protect us from the competition” Or it’ll keep that same Mega Corp from
wasting its time until you’ve proven the market exists, and then 20 minutes after you've gotten their
attention you'll be reversed engineered out of existence.
-
“There is no
competition” And no customers either ...
A little harsh?
Perhaps, but trust me when I tell I you that these, or statements just like them, show up all the time. But
amazingly, when I offer a heartfelt critique, the authors more often than not seem to appreciate the help, fix
the problems, and move onward to chase their inevitable success. Or, as the noted humorist, Winston Churchill,
once put it: “Men occasionally stumble over the truth, but most of them
pick themselves up and hurry off as if nothing happened.” And more
power to ‘em. Here’s hoping that entrepreneurs continue to be a little divorced from reality, and ready to mold
it in ways none of us ever thought possible.
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Marty Kaszubowski is President of General Ideas, a Norfolk-based technology venture
consultancy, helping early stage companies and solo entrepreneurs figure out what they want to be when they grow
up. Marty is the former Director of the Hampton Roads Technology Incubator and a former President
of the Hampton Roads Technology Council, and is a long-time participant in the on-going, regional efforts to
promote a more robust entrepreneurial culture here in Hampton Roads. Marty
can be reached at Marty@General-Ideas.com.
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